唐古拉山以北地区生态资产核算

生态系统核算可以为生态文明建设提供定量性的决策依据,包括生态资产核算和生态系统服务核算两个方面,生态资产指生产和提供生态系统产品和服务的生态系统。以唐古拉山以北地区(简称唐北地区)为研究对象对其生态资产进行了核算,建立生态资产实物量及变化核算表、损益表,提出了生态资产综合指数。2015年唐北地区草地生态资产面积为21800.01 km~2,其中良级比重最高达68.46%,湿地生态资产面积为4763.01 km~2,其中优级比例最高为59.72%,野生动植物共有138种,其中重点保护动物10种。2015年唐北地区生态资产综合指数为79.77,比2000年降低了3.60%。2000—2015年,湿地、草地生态资产分别增加了164.23、2.82 km~2。2000—2015年湿地生态资产存量增加202.90 km~2,其中由湿地恢复导致面积增加最大为200.50 km~2,存量减少38.63 km~2,其中湿地退化是导致存量减少的主要原因,面积为36.23 km~2,草地存量增加了39.18 km~2,主要是由于湿地退化导致的草地扩张,存量减少36.26 km~2,主要由湿地恢复和荒漠化引起。研究中不同生态资产质量等级的核算以及生态资产综合指数的提出利于生态资产的全面核算和比较,对于建立离任责任制、生态文明建设意义重大。     

Decision analysis approach to risk/benefit evaluation in the ethical review of controlled human infection studies

Risks and benefit evaluation for controlled human infection studies, where healthy volunteers are deliberately exposed to infectious agents to evaluate vaccine efficacy, should be explicit, systematic, thorough, and non-arbitrary. Decision analysis promotes these qualities using four steps: (1) determining explicit criteria and measures for evaluation, (2) identifying alternatives to the study, (3) defining the models used to estimate the measures for each alternative, and (4) running the models to produce the estimates and compare the alternatives. In this paper, we describe how decision analysis might be applied by funders and regulators, as well as by others contemplating the use of novel controlled human infection studies for vaccine development and evaluation.     

Catalytic chemistry of solid polyoxometalates and their industrial applications

First, fundamental properties (structure, acid and redox properties) and advantages of solid polyoxometalate catalysts (catalyst design by acid and redox control, molecularity, unusual reaction field and unique basicity) are explained. Then, the mechanism of alcohol dehydration elucidated by direct observation of reaction intermediates by solid-state NMR and the very high activity of Cs_2.5H_0.5PW₁₂O₄₀ are described. Finally several industrial applications of polyoxometalate catalysts are briefly introduced placing stress on the role of unique chemical properties of polyoxometalates.     

On the Estimation of Heritability from Unbalanced Data

The distribution and moments, of ANOVA estimator of heritability are given under unbalanced random model. These expressions are used to investigate the effect of unbalancedness on the bias and variance/MSE of the estimator and also the validity of certain approximations for its variance, numerically. The computed results reveal that the unbalancedness increases both the bias and variance/MSE of the estimator and the Smith-approximation for the variance of the estimator provides better accuracy.     

Design and Analysis of Field Experiments Incorporating Local and Remote Effects of Treatments

Design and analysis of field experiments in the presence of local and remote treatment effects are considered. The design criteria are optimality and balance for estimating local and remote effects. A nonlinear model, where remote effects are assumed to be proportional to the local effects, has been discussed.